Candidate filing is now almost complete and whilst we won’t do as well as 2006 we still have candidates in at least 420 districts.
Below the fold for details and once again go and take a look at the 2008 Race Tracker Wiki.
***I have included Cook PVI numbers where possible after blogger requests to do so!***
3 more House races have a Democratic candidate that has filed in the last three weeks:
LA-01 – R+18,
LA-07 – R+7,
NY-03 – D+2.1,
But two more races go back to being uncontested:
AL-01 – R+12, (Our candidate withdrew but it is my understanding that the party can nominate a replacement!)
VA-01 – R+9, (Our candidate has suspended his campaign. If he withdraws the party can nominate a replacement apparently.)
And two more races will not have a democratic candidate on the ballot in November:
LA-05 – R+10,
WI-05 – R+12,
So 420 races filled! This of course includes 236 districts held by Democratic Congresscritters.
But we also have 184 GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic opponents.
So here is where we are at (GOP Districts):
Districts with confirmed candidates – 184
Districts with unconfirmed candidates – 0
Districts with rumoured candidates – 1
Districts without any candidates – 1
Filing closed – No Democratic candidate – 13
The GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic challengers are as follows:
AL-02 – R+13,
AL-03 – R+4,
AL-04 – R+16,
AK-AL – R+14,
AZ-01 – R+2,
AZ-02 – R+9,
AZ-03 – R+6,
AZ-06 – R+12,
CA-02 – R+13,
CA-03 – R+7,
CA-04 – R+11,
CA-21 – R+13,
CA-24 – R+5,
CA-25 – R+7,
CA-26 – R+4,
CA-40 – R+8,
CA-41 – R+9,
CA-42 – R+10,
CA-44 – R+6,
CA-45 – R+3,
CA-46 – R+6,
CA-48 – R+8,
CA-49 – R+10,
CA-50 – R+5,
CA-52 – R+9,
CO-04 – R+9,
CO-05 – R+15.7,
CO-06 – R+10,
CT-04 – D+5,
DE-AL – D+7,
FL-01 – R+19,
FL-04 – R+16,
FL-05 – R+5,
FL-06 – R+8,
FL-07 – R+3,
FL-08 – R+3,
FL-09 – R+4,
FL-10 – D+1,
FL-12 – R+5,
FL-13 – R+4,
FL-14 – R+10,
FL-15 – R+4,
FL-18 – R+4,
FL-21 – R+6,
FL-24 – R+3,
FL-25 – R+4,
GA-01 – R+?,
GA-03 – R+?,
GA-06 – R+?,
GA-07 – R+?,
GA-09 – R+?,
GA-10 – R+?,
GA-11 – R+?,
ID-01 – R+19,
ID-02 – R+19,
IL-06 – R+2.9,
IL-10 – D+4,
IL-11 – R+1.1,
IL-13 – R+5,
IL-15 – R+6,
IL-16 – R+4,
IL-18 – R+5.5,
IL-19 – R+8,
IN-03 – R+16,
IN-04 – R+17,
IN-05 – R+20,
IN-06 – R+11,
IA-04 – D+0,
IA-05 – R+8,
KS-01 – R+20,
KS-04 – R+12,
KY-01 – R+10,
KY-02 – R+12.9,
KY-04 – R+11.7,
LA-01 – R+18,
LA-04 – R+7,
LA-07 – R+7,
MD-01 – R+10,
MD-06 – R+13,
MI-02 – R+9,
MI-03 – R+9,
MI-04 – R+3,
MI-06 – R+2.3,
MI-07 – R+2,
MI-08 – R+1.9,
MI-09 – R+0,
MI-10 – R+4,
MI-11 – R+1.2,
MN-02 – R+2.7,
MN-03 – R+0.5,
MN-06 – R+5,
MO-02 – R+9,
MO-06 – R+5,
MO-07 – R+14,
MO-08 – R+11,
MO-09 – R+7,
MS-03 – R+14,
MT-AL – R+11,
NE-01 – R+11,
NE-02 – R+9,
NE-03 – R+23.6,
NV-02 – R+8.2,
NV-03 – D+1,
NJ-02 – D+4.0,
NJ-03 – D+3.3,
NJ-04 – R+0.9,
NJ-05 – R+4,
NJ-07 – R+1,
NJ-11 – R+6,
NM-01 – D+2,
NM-02 – R+6,
NY-03 – D+2.1,
NY-13 – D+1,
NY-23 – R+0.2,
NY-25 – D+3,
NY-26 – R+3,
NY-29 – R+5,
NC-03 – R+15,
NC-05 – R+15,
NC-06 – R+17,
NC-08 – R+3,
NC-09 – R+12,
NC-10 – R+15,
OH-01 – R+1,
OH-02 – R+13,
OH-03 – R+3,
OH-04 – R+14,
OH-05 – R+10,
OH-07 – R+6,
OH-08 – R+12,
OH-12 – R+0.7,
OH-14 – R+2,
OH-15 – R+1,
OH-16 – R+4,
OK-01 – R+13,
OK-03 – R+18,
OK-04 – R+13,
OK-05 – R+12,
OR-02 – R+11,
PA-03 – R+2,
PA-05 – R+10,
PA-06 – D+2.2,
PA-09 – R+15,
PA-15 – D+2,
PA-16 – R+11,
PA-18 – R+2,
PA-19 – R+12,
SC-01 – R+10,
SC-02 – R+9,
SC-03 – R+14,
SC-04 – R+15,
TN-01 – R+14,
TN-02 – R+11,
TN-03 – R+8,
TN-07 – R+12,
TX-03 – R+17,
TX-04 – R+17,
TX-06 – R+15,
TX-07 – R+16,
TX-08 – R+20,
TX-10 – R+13,
TX-12 – R+14,
TX-13 – R+18,
TX-19 – R+25,
TX-24 – R+15,
TX-26 – R+12,
TX-31 – R+15,
TX-32 – R+11,
UT-01 – R+26,
UT-03 – R+22,
VA-02 – R+5.9,
VA-04 – R+5,
VA-05 – R+6,
VA-06 – R+11,
VA-07 – R+11,
VA-10 – R+5,
VA-11 – R+1,
WA-04 – R+13,
WA-05 – R+7.1,
WA-08 – D+2,
WV-02 – R+5,
WI-01 – R+2,
WI-06 – R+5,
WY-AL – R+19,
The following GOP held districts have a candidate that is expected to run but is yet to confirm:
None at this stage
The following GOP held districts have rumoured candidates – please note that some of these “rumours” are extremely tenuous!
VA-01 – R+9,
The following districts have not a single rumoured candidate:
AL-01 – R+12,
And last but not least the list I did not want to have to include.
The following Republicans will not have a Democratic opponent in 2008:
AL-06 – R+25,
AR-03 – R+11,
CA-19 – R+10,
CA-22 – R+16,
KY-05 – R+8
LA-05 – R+10,
TX-01 – R+17,
TX-02 – R+12,
TX-05 – R+16,
TX-11 – R+25,
TX-14 – R+14,
TX-21 – R+13,
WI-05 – R+12,
Finally due praise to those states where we have a full slate of house candidates – Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennesee, Utah, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia and Wyoming.
Thats 42 states with a full slate!
There are also 6 states where filing has closed where we do not have a full slate: Arkansas, California, Kentucky, Louisiana, Wisconsin and of course Texas.
It is also great to see candidates in AZ-06, CA-42, FL-12, LA-06, MS-03, VA-04, VA-06 and WI-06; 8 of 10 districts we did not contest in 2006! The other 2, TX-11 and AL-06, will again go uncontested by Team Blue in 2008.
With 13 uncontested Republicans we will not reach our great 2006 effort of 425 races filled but we will do really well nonetheless.
*** Tips, rumours and what not in the comments please.***
Not a bad outcome at all.
That have republicans filed?
😀
1. Well, I guess we’re counting perennial candidates like George Mays (OH-05) and John Driscoll (MT-AL).
2. Darnit, Sensenbrenner’s getting a free pass.
3. Texas looks really bad. Is there something we can do about it in 2010?
4. In AL-01, did T. Fuller drop out?